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  "run": 536,
  "n_metros": 186,
  "windows": {
    "pre": [
      "2015-01",
      "2020-02"
    ],
    "acute": [
      "2020-03",
      "2022-12"
    ],
    "recent": [
      "2023-01",
      "2026-07"
    ]
  },
  "mean_gap_pct_pts": {
    "pre": -0.834,
    "acute": -0.0622,
    "recent": 0.1565
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  "era_vs_zero": {
    "pre": {
      "label": "pre-COVID gap vs zero",
      "n": 186,
      "mean": -0.834,
      "p": 8.087837152804037e-14,
      "ci95": [
        -1.0529,
        -0.6151
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    },
    "acute": {
      "label": "acute-COVID gap vs zero",
      "n": 186,
      "mean": -0.0622,
      "p": 0.6807025075090544,
      "ci95": [
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    },
    "recent": {
      "label": "2023-2026 gap vs zero",
      "n": 186,
      "mean": 0.1565,
      "p": 0.06377009584221151,
      "ci95": [
        -0.009,
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  },
  "formal_spec": {
    "label": "monthly panel: metro-city log-return spread ~ post-COVID dummy, clustered by metro",
    "n": 38160,
    "n_metros": 120,
    "slope": 0.0252,
    "r2": 0.00144,
    "p": 0.017505462712895443,
    "ci95": [
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  "share_metros_positive_gap": {
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    "acute": 0.4839,
    "recent": 0.586
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  "test_pre_vs_acute": {
    "label": "acute minus pre (did the gap open?)",
    "n": 186,
    "mean": 0.7718,
    "p": 5.822232130489433e-06,
    "ci95": [
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    "bootstrap_ci95": [
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  "test_acute_vs_recent": {
    "label": "recent minus acute (has it faded?)",
    "n": 186,
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    "p": 0.23418260771521082,
    "ci95": [
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    "bootstrap_ci95": [
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  },
  "test_pre_vs_recent": {
    "label": "recent minus pre (net effect today)",
    "n": 186,
    "mean": 0.9905,
    "p": 7.888253125336351e-12,
    "ci95": [
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    "bootstrap_ci95": [
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