{
  "run": "035-inequality-growth",
  "as_of": "2026-08-06",
  "source": "World Bank PIP Gini index + World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.KD.ZG (GDP/capita growth) + World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD (GDP/capita PPP level), via Our World in Data grapher CSV mirrors (World Bank's own API was down this cycle -- see fetch script docstring)",
  "period": "2000-2023",
  "n": 138,
  "raw_fit": {
    "n": 138,
    "slope": -0.0326,
    "intercept": 3.6598,
    "r2": 0.0239,
    "p": 0.07049449424672455,
    "slope_ci95": [
      -0.068,
      0.0028
    ]
  },
  "confound_check": {
    "gini_vs_starting_income": {
      "n": 138,
      "slope": -4.32,
      "intercept": 54.7421,
      "r2": 0.0808,
      "p": 0.0007253603850128244,
      "slope_ci95": [
        -6.79,
        -1.8499
      ]
    },
    "starting_income_vs_growth": {
      "n": 138,
      "slope": -0.6364,
      "intercept": 4.9335,
      "r2": 0.0394,
      "p": 0.01967333068875321,
      "slope_ci95": [
        -1.1696,
        -0.1032
      ]
    }
  },
  "partial_correlation_fit": {
    "n": 138,
    "slope": -0.0484,
    "intercept": -0.0,
    "r2": 0.0504,
    "p": 0.008148102208426752,
    "slope_ci95": [
      -0.0841,
      -0.0128
    ]
  },
  "multivariate_ols": {
    "n": 138,
    "gini_coef": -0.0484,
    "gini_se": 0.0181,
    "gini_p": 0.008386766412805002,
    "gini_ci95": [
      -0.0842,
      -0.0126
    ],
    "log_gdp_start_coef": -0.8457,
    "log_gdp_start_p": 0.0025530529149737635,
    "r2": 0.0877
  },
  "gini_range": [
    24.73,
    61.12
  ],
  "growth_range": [
    -2.144,
    7.789
  ],
  "low_gini_countries": [
    {
      "country": "Slovenia",
      "gini_mean": 24.73,
      "growth_mean": 2.163
    },
    {
      "country": "Slovakia",
      "gini_mean": 25.68,
      "growth_mean": 3.345
    },
    {
      "country": "Czechia",
      "gini_mean": 26.1,
      "growth_mean": 2.248
    },
    {
      "country": "Ukraine",
      "gini_mean": 26.42,
      "growth_mean": 2.457
    },
    {
      "country": "Denmark",
      "gini_mean": 27.22,
      "growth_mean": 0.918
    }
  ],
  "high_gini_countries": [
    {
      "country": "Brazil",
      "gini_mean": 53.97,
      "growth_mean": 1.458
    },
    {
      "country": "Colombia",
      "gini_mean": 54.06,
      "growth_mean": 2.348
    },
    {
      "country": "Botswana",
      "gini_mean": 57.79,
      "growth_mean": 1.681
    },
    {
      "country": "South Africa",
      "gini_mean": 59.98,
      "growth_mean": 1.016
    },
    {
      "country": "Namibia",
      "gini_mean": 61.12,
      "growth_mean": 1.187
    }
  ],
  "fastest_growth": [
    {
      "country": "China",
      "gini_mean": 39.68,
      "growth_mean": 7.789
    },
    {
      "country": "Armenia",
      "gini_mean": 31.17,
      "growth_mean": 6.587
    },
    {
      "country": "Azerbaijan",
      "gini_mean": 28.35,
      "growth_mean": 6.482
    },
    {
      "country": "Georgia",
      "gini_mean": 37.23,
      "growth_mean": 6.158
    },
    {
      "country": "Ethiopia",
      "gini_mean": 32.28,
      "growth_mean": 5.417
    }
  ],
  "slowest_growth": [
    {
      "country": "Syria",
      "gini_mean": 36.11,
      "growth_mean": -2.144
    },
    {
      "country": "Zimbabwe",
      "gini_mean": 45.92,
      "growth_mean": -0.444
    },
    {
      "country": "Burundi",
      "gini_mean": 36.48,
      "growth_mean": -0.097
    },
    {
      "country": "Madagascar",
      "gini_mean": 41.85,
      "growth_mean": -0.026
    },
    {
      "country": "Italy",
      "gini_mean": 34.61,
      "growth_mean": 0.414
    }
  ],
  "quartile_table": [
    {
      "quartile": "Q1 (most equal)",
      "mean_growth": 2.724,
      "n": 36
    },
    {
      "quartile": "Q2",
      "mean_growth": 2.447,
      "n": 33
    },
    {
      "quartile": "Q3",
      "mean_growth": 2.576,
      "n": 34
    },
    {
      "quartile": "Q4 (most unequal)",
      "mean_growth": 1.966,
      "n": 35
    }
  ]
}